{"id":14145,"date":"2014-10-01T15:23:05","date_gmt":"2014-10-01T20:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/?p=14145"},"modified":"2014-10-01T15:23:05","modified_gmt":"2014-10-01T20:23:05","slug":"bayesian-prediction-for-the-winds-of-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/?p=14145","title":{"rendered":"Bayesian Prediction for The Winds of Winter"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote><p>Predictions are made for the number of chapters told from the point of view of each character in the next two novels in George R. R. Martin&#8217;s \\emph{A Song of Ice and Fire} series by fitting a random effects model to a matrix of point-of-view chapters in the earlier novels using Bayesian methods. {\\textbf{SPOILER WARNING: readers who have not read all five existing novels in the series should not read further, as major plot points will be spoiled.}}<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>via <a href=\"http:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/1409.5830\">[1409.5830] Bayesian Prediction for The Winds of Winter<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predictions are made for the number of chapters told from the point of view of each character in the next two novels in George R. R. Martin&#8217;s \\emph{A Song of Ice and Fire} series by fitting a random effects model &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/?p=14145\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[737],"tags":[1333,180,1227],"class_list":["post-14145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-stem","tag-bayes-theory","tag-math","tag-statistics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14145","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14145"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14145\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14146,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14145\/revisions\/14146"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14145"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14145"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bucktownbell.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14145"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}